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California 2026: Measured Market Rebound

Existing single-family home sales are forecast to rise 2% in 2026, reaching 274,400 units after flat performance in 2025.

The median home price is projected to increase 3.6% to $905,000 in 2026, setting a new statewide record.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to decline to 6.0% in 2026, improving purchasing power.

Housing affordability is forecast to rise to 18% in 2026, supported by lower rates and moderate price growth.

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